April 23, 2010

Squaring the Circle on Parents as Teachers

As our regular readers know, we blog a lot about the Parents as Teachers (PAT) program here. It tends to generate a substantial number of comments, which is awesome. Sarah Brodsky has done most of the posting on this subject, but I will take a stab at it here — and I post this as someone who has been a defender of the program and its benefits previously (in comments, not my own blog posts).

Today’s Post-Dispatch has an article about the latest round of budget cuts in Jeff City. This round of cuts will apparently hit the PAT program hard. The national director of the organization, which is based in Missouri, is taking the cuts personally and hitting back hard:

“I have passed beyond astonishment at the governor’s actions to anger at this disparate attack on Parents as Teachers,” Stepleton said from the organization’s national headquarters in Maryland Heights.

I might understand her anger, but I have to come to the defense of the governor and legislature here. PAT is a worthy program, and by that I mean that I feel it serves its mission more effectively than many other social programs. My family uses it, and we pay for it through our property taxes. If we were asked to pay for it via both property taxes and additional fees, I readily admit we would not use it. But there is no reason PAT should not feel the cutbacks to the same degree as other programs — or, in certain cases like the Highway Patrol, more than other programs. There is nothing so important about PAT, compared to may other programs, that should make it immune to cutbacks when they are required. And I again remind you that I say this as someone who likes, uses, and supports the PAT program overall.

The governor has difficult choices to make, and he deserves credit for facing up to the task and making the hard decisions. The General Assembly also deserves great credit for working with him on many (not all, but many) of these choices, and refusing to raise taxes in these tough budget times. Raising taxes is the easy way out, not the hard way.

Other proposed cuts are positively exciting, such as reducing, even just temporarily, aid to Missouri’s insipid ethanol industry:

The state will delay paying $3.2 million in subsidies owed to biodiesel plants. Next year, they’ll get about 75 percent of what they’re owed, with the rest being deferred to future years.

Here’s hoping that they make the biodiesel cuts permanent, then cut it even further.

Privatization Moves Forward in the St. Louis Area

Here are two examples of government privatization moving forward in the St. Louis area: First, Festus is selling its municipal airport. Now, this won’t have anywhere near the effect of the private, commercial airport in Branson, but it is nonetheless a good example of a local government shredding itself of a role that the private sector can perform just as well (and probably better).

Second, the city of St. Louis is bidding out the operation of its animal shelter. The well-known nonprofit organization Stray Rescue will apparently get the contract. Kansas City privatized the operation of its animal shelter last year, and the accounts I have read about it indicate that the shelter is operating smoothly under private management.

As governments at every level deal with serious budget issues, it’s important that the private sector be allowed to play a role previously played by the public sector, as a major part of the changes that state and local government need to make.

April 22, 2010

Free Markets and the NFL Draft

Tonight, the Saint Louis Rams and the Kansas City Chiefs will announce their picks for the first round of the National Football League (NFL) college draft. That will decide which college football players will be forced to negotiate with them, if the players wish to join the NFL employee pool.

You see, unlike most industries, where workers are free to solicit offers from a range of potential employers before choosing the one most to their liking, NFL teams have a collusive agreement: Only one NFL team at a time may negotiate with the best of the rookie class. This relieves teams of the need to bid against each other for these young players, meaning that the players are stripped of most of their bargaining power when negotiating their initial contracts. However, the practice has also resulted in unanticipated negative consequences for teams. Thus, the limitations that the current NFL drafting system imposes on teams and rookie players distorts the laws of supply and demand, resulting in an inefficient allocation of resources.

If you will, join me in a thought experiment. Several teams this year would like to add a promising young quarterback to their roster. Right now, the Rams are in the best position to do so because they hold the first pick in the draft — and they are widely expected to select Sam Bradford, a Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback out of the University of Oklahoma. If another team (such as the Cleveland Browns, Oakland Raiders, or the Buffalo Bills) wants to be sure it has a chance to secure Bradford’s services, their only option is to negotiate a trade in which the Rams would give up the number one draft slot in exchange for players and/or draft choices offered by the other team.

Why would the Browns, Raiders, or Bills make this trade? Because they place a certain value on obtaining Bradford as a player. The problem is, even though Bradford’s particular skills and attributes are the reason he is so highly valued, he will not personally get to realize the return on the value he offers. As I point out below, Bradford’s rookie contract will have roughly the same parameters, regardless of which team selects him. But a team that trades up to get him would, by doing so, demonstrate its willingness to pay not only the size of that rookie contract, but all the additional costs that they would be sinking into the trade. And the recipient of the additional largess would not be the individual creating the value, but rather the Rams, whose only contribution to the transaction was being a particularly awful team last season. This arrangement is clearly not fair to Bradford.

But even if the Rams valued Bradford most highly, it is extremely unlikely that he could maximize the value that should result from demand for his services. As the draft system currently exists, there is an informal pay scale imposed on teams and players that depends on the slot in which a player is drafted, rather than the value that the team believes it will realize as a result of employing the player. The pay scale is determined both by a set, limited amount of “rookie pool money” and the contracts signed by the previous year’s set of rookie players. Very rarely can either teams or players deviate from this pay scale, although it is not uncommon for them to try.

Last year’s draft provides an excellent example. Matthew Stafford, the first player selected in 2009, signed a contract guaranteeing him more than $41 million. The Rams drafted second and ultimately agreed to pay Jason Smith $33 million. Kansas City chose third and guaranteed Tyson Jackson $31 million. These transactions demonstrate how the pay scale usually works. But interesting things then happened with four of the next six players selected. The Seattle Seahawks, picking fourth, chose Aaron Curry, a player many regarded as being the best in the draft and a potential number one pick. The Seahawks ultimately ended up guaranteeing Curry $34 million — more money than either the second or third players selected. In the meantime, the Oakland Raiders used the seventh pick in the draft to select the first wide receiver taken last year, Darrius Heyward-Bey. This was a highly unusual pick for two reasons: First, most experts figured Heyward-Bey to be only the third- or fourth-best receiver available. Second, the Raiders guaranteed him $23.5 million — significantly more money than would normally be expected for the seventh selection in that draft. Heyward-Bey’s contract had a direct effect on contract negotiations for two other rookie players. The Cincinnati Bengals selected Andre Smith with the sixth selection, and, after Heyward-Bey signed, Smith demanded to be paid more money than the player selected after him. Meanwhile, the San Francisco 49ers had used the 10th overall selection to take Michael Crabtree, who was almost unanimously considered to be the best wide receiver in the draft. Despite being selected three spots lower than Heyward-Bey (and, despite Heyward-Bey’s unusually large contract), Crabtree demanded to be paid as though he were the first receiver selected.

Both Andre Smith and Michael Crabtree ended up refusing to report to their teams (the only kind of real leverage afforded to rookie players) in order to get the kinds of deals they wanted; neither was ultimately successful. Smith missed several weeks of training camp before settling for $21 million guaranteed — which, accounting for the fact that he signed a four-year contract rather than the five-year deal more commonly given to high draft picks, is about what would have been expected given the slot in which he was selected. Crabtree, on the other hand, refused to join the team until well into the season, eventually signing for a guaranteed $17 million — slightly less than was given to the player selected ninth, and slightly more than was given to the player selected 11th. In both cases, the negotiations that resulted from the NFL draft and its resulting “slotting” system cost both the players and the teams weeks of distraction and invaluable time with which to prepare for the upcoming season.

A much more efficient system would have the teams bidding against one another. The most-desperate team would likely secure the player most likely to meet their needs because they would be willing to sacrifice more than any other team to sign that player. A slightly less-desperate team would be able to sign the next-best prospect, and so on, until teams were no longer willing to pay the amount a player demanded. Thus, players would realize the full market value resulting from the demand for their services, and teams would be able to maximize their utility by focusing on the players they most wanted to employ, rather than just those who happened to remain on the draft board. Freed from the restrictive confines of the “slotting system,” teams and players should be able to come to mutually agreeable contracts well before training camp begins, eliminating the hassles and lost opportunities that result when teams and players are limited in their freedom to negotiate with other prospective partners.

The law of supply and demand maximizes efficiency in free markets — and the NFL could help to maximize its own efficiency by abandoning its current, anti-competitive labor model in favor of a model more closely resembling a free market.

On Education Consolidation

The Missouri Senate has given initial approval for a proposal by Gov. Jay Nixon to consolidate the Department of Elementary and Secondary Education (DESE) and the Department of Higher Education. Approaching the issue purely as a matter of spending, this looks like an obvious move. With one department, some of the redundant agencies and services can be rolled into one capable of doing the same work for less money. However, the effect that such a change would have on educational outcomes is far more ambiguous.

Once they are a single department, the management styles of the old departments will influence each other. No doubt the influence will flow in both directions, but ultimately either higher education will end up looking more like elementary and secondary education, even if only on the margin, or vice versa. I hope it will be the latter, because higher education gives far more autonomy to individual schools, instructors, and ultimately students, which I believe is one of the reasons that — for all its problems — the American higher education system remains highly touted.

That said, I fear DESE’s influence will win out. It is the far larger department, with a 2010 appropriation of more than $5.4 billion compared to Higher Education’s $1.3 billion. This will probably mean far more micromanagement of college curricula and a greater emphasis on pedagogy compared to content. That’s simply how DESE officials think; they create a statewide standard to make classes nice and formulaic. If this plan is implemented, I fully expect that within a decade there will be state-mandated standards for common courses (e.g., western civilization, macroeconomics, chemistry, etc.) similar to the Class Level Expectations (CLEs) in high school classes. Missouri will have a “seamless” education system, as one legislator describes it, but at the expense of the independence of our public universities.

Tune In!

Later today, I will be a guest on Mike Ferguson’s talk show on 93.9 “The Eagle” in Columbia, talking about how Missouri’s green tax rebate program is wasteful and how its intended environmental impact is negated by the way the program is constructed.

The show lasts from 4:00 to 6:00 p.m., and I’m scheduled to speak at 4:30. The show is also available online, so if you are around a radio or an Internet connection, you should listen in!

Rein in Tax Credits, Widen the Tax Base

According to an AP article dated yesterday:

Education officials from across Missouri joined Gov. Jay Nixon’s call to rein in tax credits, asserting Wednesday that escalating incentives are diverting money from financially strapped schools and colleges. [...]

Nixon, a Democrat who last year backed an expansion of state tax credits for businesses, now says tax incentives have grown so greatly that they are threatening other essential government functions. About $585 million of tax credits were redeemed last year — up 86 percent over the past decade, he said.

I realize that education officials are self-interested, but I agree with their assertion here that Missouri’s tax credit programs are funded at the expense of other programs. When tax revenue is spent on subsidizing select businesses and industries, taxpayers cannot spend that money elsewhere, such as on education; they face an opportunity cost that at least equals the amount of the tax credit.

Additionally, the state shouldn’t carve out sections of its tax base to reduce tax burdens for a select few, because those who remain in the tax base have to pick up the difference. By having a broad tax base, Missouri can assess a tax rate that’s lower and more equal for all taxpayers. This low-tax environment would attract new businesses and individuals to Missouri better than any selective tax credit program could. This would result in a steady stream of more reliable tax revenues, so government in Missouri would not have to struggle to pay for itself.

April 21, 2010

Tonight: SMI on KMOX!

Today, I spoke with Maria Keena of KMOX about my editorial, published today, arguing that Missouri’s green tax rebates are a wasteful use of state funds. The interview is scheduled to air on KMOX radio in St. Louis around 6:00 p.m. and tomorrow during the morning drive-time show. I encourage our blog readers to tune in!

April 20, 2010

I Leap Head First Into Cosmetology School Licensing, and Come Out With a Fabulous Haircut

Yesterday, I was invited to attend an informal meeting in Jefferson City between members and staff of the state’s Board of Cosmetology and Barber Examiners, several owners of cosmetology and barber colleges, and lobbyists for the state association of cosmetology schools. I was invited by John and Nancy Tirre, who own Current Trends Academy in St. Peters. They are the only people in attendance that I’ll name, out of an abundance of caution. The Tirres were concerned about the provisions in House Bill 2194, which would have further regulated an already heavily regulated industry: cosmetology and barber colleges. (Here is the bill summary.) There is no nice way for me to put this; the proposals in this bill are awful, and fundamentally anti-competitive and anti–free market. If you don’t agree with me, you probably feel that the government has a perfectly good reason to dictate via legislation that every new cosmetology school in Missouri must have at least nine instructors on staff before they can enroll even one student.

At the beginning of the meeting, the lobbyist for the cosmetology school association (of which the Tirres are members) told everyone that the bulk of HB 2194 will be pulled from consideration. This is excellent news. Next, he said that a new proposal would replace the deleted language with a simple two-year moratorium on any new cosmetology and barber schools opening in Missouri. This, of course, is an equally horrible idea.

After that, the meeting got down to business. One of the moratorium’s supporters, who owns three cosmetology schools in rural Missouri, stated that the primary problem the industry is dealing with is a lack of qualified instructors in colleges. He said that the moratorium — and the language that had been removed from the bill — are all just ways of dealing with that problem, and that the moratorium is designed so the industry can collectively propose solutions.

Many of you reading this will probably react exactly as I did, which is to say that if you don’t have enough instructors, then private colleges should offer a higher salary for instructors and the problem will solve itself — resulting in whatever equilibrium instructor allocation tends to be more efficient. The most basic economics tells you that shortages are best dealt with by increasing price. If you need more instructors at barber colleges, then offer to pay them more.

However — and this is where I wanted to tear my hair out, as I patiently sat there listening — it honestly took a half-hour of shortage discussion before anyone mentioned salaries. They went through the numbers of licensed instructors in Missouri in detail. There are 343 current instructors in Missouri. There are 279 people with active instructor licenses who do not teach. Finally, there are 364 people with inactive licenses who could very quickly and easily reactivate their licenses. So, there is a pool of 643 people who are trained to do this work but not doing it. Clearly, some of them would choose to again teach at cosmetology school is the salary offered were high enough. It should be noted that, in a related and worthy effort to increase the supply of instructors, the licensing qualifications for instructors were substantially pared down a few years ago. I am all for that, but if that strategy did not work by itself, another solution like raising salaries is a logical next step.

If the first half of the meeting might have been unsettling, the second half was inspiring. The arguments of those who favored the moratorium were strongly opposed by several of the other people in attendance. One member of the state board of cosmetology, who owns a school and would benefit from the moratorium, called it “selfish” and said that the industry had no right to stop someone who was trying to “fulfill a dream” by opening their own business. Another board member said similar things, and made it clear that she would oppose the proposal. The Tirres, too — who, as school owners, could also benefit from a moratorium — opposed it on principle. In the end, those present agreed not to move forward with proposing the moratorium, and it appears that all of the anti-competitive ideas in the bill are dead for now — hopefully, dead for a long time.

The discussion contained plenty of areas of positive agreement. I heard a number of great proposals on ways that the schools could work together to improve teacher recruitment, change their teaching methods to reach students who are a “new type of learner,” and more. There was discussion about the absurdity of parts of the current regulatory system, such as how a school can get in trouble if one of its instructors goes home sick, and a random state inspection comes later that same day to find the school temporarily short of the required 25-1 student-teacher ratio. It’s beyond me why tax documents would not suffice to demonstrate the correct number of instructors. (And I’m not overlooking the fact that a mandated 25-1 ratio is a dumb requirement in the first place, but they all seemed to think it is not a big deal.)

I did say my piece at the end of the meeting. I left feeling happy to have watched members of the board kill bad legislation. I readily admit that I don’t think cosmetology and barber practitioners and schools should be licensed at all, but it is worth my time and effort to help prevent bad rules from becoming even worse rules. It was great to see defenders of competition win out, at least for now.

Anyone reading this who was present at the meeting should feel free to use our comment section to claim credit for the above paraphrased quotes, expand on my opinions, or tell me how I am stupid.

April 19, 2010

In Their Defense, Kids Do Love Explosions

From the Columbia Daily Tribune:

A recent demonstration by the Missouri State Highway Patrol SWAT team had students ducking for cover and later upset at least one parent.

On April 8, about 27 students — mostly high school juniors and seniors — were taking part in a Student Alliance Program course in the highway patrol hangar at the Jefferson City airport. As part of a demonstration by Troop F, a SWAT officer rolled a “flashbang” grenade under the seats of the students without their knowledge.

The grenade, a non-lethal weapon used to stun or divert the attention of criminals when tactical teams enter a building, went off, emitting a loud noise, a burst of light and smoke.

Thankfully, no one was seriously injured, but if police officers have become so desensitized to flashbangs that this can be considered normal behavior, the SWAT team is raiding far too many houses.

Via Radley Balko.

“Should Five Per Cent Appear Too Small, Be Thankful I Don’t Take It All”

Last week, I wrote about how Missouri residents enjoy relatively low taxes on alcoholic beverages, cigarettes, and gasoline. Friday, on Prime Buzz, Steve Kraske enumerated reasons why these taxes are so low in Missouri, and why the state is unlikely to raise them in the future. Additionally, he explains that Missouri’s low taxes act as an incentive for its border states to keep their taxes low as well:

That Missouri is so reluctant to raise taxes puts added anti-tax pressure on Kansas. Convenience stores in Wyandotte and Johnson counties fear losing even more business to Missouri stores if Kansas boosts the tax again.

When you tax something, you get less of it, after all. When a state increases the tax rate on goods like alcoholic beverages, cigarettes, and gasoline, individuals will consume less of them. After a certain point, the total tax revenue generated from these products is reduced, as well.

By keeping its tax rate low relative to its neighboring states, Missouri can maximize the amount of revenue that it generates. This would help ensure that not only Missouri residents shop in-state, but that individuals located near the border in neighboring states will also shop here.

Tax increases are not cost-free for states. In addition to the cost of reduced sales tax revenue, they have a cost in terms of lost competitiveness. Fewer people and businesses will locate to high-tax states because the costs of living and doing business are higher.

“The County Will Help Bridgeton Find a Better Deal.”

According to an article in the St. Louis Post Dispatch from Friday, St. Louis County Executive Charlie Dooley encourages the municipality of Bridgeton to reject TIF for Walmart. I commend St. Louis County for exercising fiscal restraint; for reasons that David Stokes explains in a 2008 editorial, it’s preferable that counties, not cities, allocate TIFs.

However, the following statement in the article concerns me:

[Garry Earls, Dooley's chief of staff and chief operating officer of the county,] pledged “the county will help Bridgeton find a better deal.”

The government should not be in the business of “finding a better deal” or picking economic winners and losers. The free market does this fairly and more efficiently — and at zero cost to taxpayers. Instead of getting involved, local and county governments should allow development to happen naturally in an unrestricted market. Having general low-tax and pro-business policies is the most efficient way to attract businesses to an area and incite economic growth. Developments that use TIF are not guaranteed success, and those that are successful may have been successful independently.

If there is a sufficient level of consumer demand for the new Walmart, then the company will decide to move to the location independent of government assistance. If there is not enough demand in the area, then Walmart will decide to move elsewhere, and local governments would not have to forfeit revenues in the short term to pay for the project.

April 16, 2010

“That’s Right, and Who Might You Be?”

In yesterday’s “Political Eye” column in the St. Louis American, the author welcomed the Show-Me Institute to the city of St. Louis:

A recent email sent to drive traffic to Slay’s campaign site with one of its inane polls referred blithely to “your tea party friends.” Slay’s team seems to want to send the message that government-hating right wingers are welcome here. No wonder the Show-Me Institute set up shop in the city.

There is, of course, only one legitimate reply to this, and, not surprisingly, it was said by Homer Simpson. From the fourth season, episode 14 — you’ll find the video here. The line comes at about the 0:48 mark. Definitely one of the best lines in one of the single best episodes of the best TV series ever.

Thanks to St. Louis’ own Bart Simpson for the article link.

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