Real-Life Economics in the Kansas City Star
Today’s KC Star has a terrific article about how the economic downturn has impacted people’s day-to-day lives in one very big way: People are having fewer children. This is not surprising at all, but it is fascinating to see the numbers and consider the real-world results of that. From the article:
For example, Missouri’s birth rate — the number of births per 1,000 women of child-bearing age — in the first five months of this year dropped 6 percent, a decrease that state demographers called substantial.
My wife and I had our second child during that exact period. These numbers could well influence his entire life. There will be less competition for high school and college admissions. Perhaps there will be less competition for graduate school and right-out-of-college employment. With less demand, costs to us for some of these items might decrease, as well.
Now, obviously, he would see these benefits if this is a one- or two-year decline in the birth rate. You won’t see many universities close because they are short on admissions for just one year. But if this becomes a longer-term decline in the birth rate, the supply curve of education options would decline as well. More importantly, if the decline in the birth rate is a sign of long-term economic contraction, all of our children are going to be impacted by the resulting reduced opportunities.
It is a very interesting article, and another example of how macroeconomic issues impact microeconomic choices.


I find it amusing that the woman who was interviewed about her decision to delay having another child is only 19!
I would be very surprised if the recession is the only factor that has caused her to wait to have baby #2. What about school, social stigma, etc.?
Comment by Christine Harbin — October 12, 2009 @ 4:04 p.m.
Good questions. The orginail article didn’t discuss her exact details, but people in the comments section to the Star article did. Apparently, she is married and has a job, but is not too focused on going to college, which is perfectly fine. So, while she might be a little younger than most women for the article, it appears she is responsibly raising her one child and, if not for the economic downturn, would be in a situation where she and her husband could properly support a second. That “if not” is sort of the point of the story, though.
Comment by David Stokes — October 12, 2009 @ 4:18 p.m.
Good point. I agree, and I realize that it’s not the point of the article.
I enjoyed reading your supposition that the low, short-term birth rate could be academically advantageous for your son. I wish that I were so lucky! :)
Comment by Christine Harbin — October 12, 2009 @ 4:36 p.m.